Pulmonology

Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

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Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Biomarkers

clinical topic updates by Surya P. Bhatt, MD
Overview

Currently available biomarkers can help clinicians care for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Recent data offer insights into how biomarker measurement in patients with COPD can be applied in clinical practice to help predict risk of exacerbations and mortality, as well as to assess potential treatment response.

Expert Commentary
“Biomarkers can help identify clinically meaningful subtypes that may not be apparent from spirometry alone.”
— Surya P. Bhatt, MD

COPD is heterogeneous, with different underlying pathophysiologic pathways and external phenotype manifestations. Biomarkers can help identify clinically meaningful subtypes that may not be apparent from spirometry alone.

 

Plasma fibrinogen is the only currently US Food and Drug Administration (FDA)–approved biomarker that has been shown to predict risk of exacerbations and mortality in patients with COPD. However, its performance characteristics are modest and nonspecific, and, therefore, plasma fibrinogen is not widely used in clinical practice or trials.

 

We now appreciate the role of type 2 inflammation in COPD, and blood eosinophils may be a good biomarker for this. Once type 2 inflammation is identified, it can be targeted for treatment. Blood eosinophils can also help predict response to therapy and risk of exacerbations, but only in patients who have a history of exacerbations.

 

A blood eosinophil count of at least 100 cells/μL predicts a response to ICS therapy. The recent Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) document indicates that patients with eosinophil counts of 300 cells/μL or higher and patients with eosinophil counts of 100 cells/μL or higher and persistent COPD exacerbations with uncontrolled symptoms on LAMA/LABA maintenance therapy are candidates for triple therapy with an ICS, a LABA, and a LAMA. In patients with eosinophil counts of 300 cells/μL or higher who continue to have exacerbations despite triple therapy, biologics can be added to target type 2 inflammation.

 

It is important to note that blood eosinophil levels can fluctuate and can be affected by systemic steroid therapy. So, if a patient with COPD receives intravenous or oral steroids, it is recommended to wait a few weeks before measuring their eosinophils. It is also recommended to check eosinophil counts often because a single low value is not enough to confirm the absence of type 2 inflammation. If levels are consistently low, then one can more confidently assume that the patient does not have type 2 inflammation. Now that there are good therapies for type 2 inflammation, it is important to have a high index of suspicion and actively test for it.

 

Fractional exhaled nitric oxide (FeNO) can also be an indicator of type 2 inflammation. FeNO is already in widespread use to measure asthma control. When the FeNO level is less than 10 parts per billion, one can assume that type 2 inflammation and asthma are reasonably well controlled. In COPD, this can become tricky because many people with COPD continue to smoke, which can decrease FeNO levels.

 

Another biomarker is IgE, which is associated with a higher frequency of exacerbations. Finally, some studies have used the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, which is associated with a higher exacerbation risk, but this provides modest differentiation. Further, the cutoffs have been variable from study to study, with no consensus on where they should fall.

References

Antus B, Paska C, Barta I. Predictive value of exhaled nitric oxide and blood eosinophil count in the assessment of airway eosinophilia in COPD. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis. 2020;15:2025-2035. doi:10.2147/COPD.S257965

 

Brusselle G, Pavord ID, Landis S, et al. Blood eosinophil levels as a biomarker in COPD. Respir Med. 2018;138:21-31. doi:10.1016/j.rmed.2018.03.016

 

Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease. Global strategy for the diagnosis, management, and prevention of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: 2026 report. Accessed March 18, 2026. https://goldcopd.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/12/GOLD-REPORT-2026-v1.3-8Dec2025_WMV.pdf

 

Goa J, Zhang M, Zhou L, et al. Correlation between fractional exhaled nitric oxide and sputum eosinophilia in exacerbations of COPD. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis. 2017;12:1287-1293. doi:10.2147/COPD.S134998

 

Higham A, Beech A, Singh D. The relevance of eosinophils in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: inflammation, microbiome, and clinical outcomes. J Leukoc Biol. 2024;116(5):927-946. doi:10.1093/jleuko/qiae153

 

Li S, Yi B, Wang H, Xu X, Yu L. Efficacy and safety of biologics targeting type 2 inflammation in COPD: a systematic review and network meta-analysis. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis. 2025;20:2143-2159. doi:10.2147/COPD.S504774

 

Lommatzsch M, Speer T, Herr C, et al; COSYCONET Study Group. IgE is associated with exacerbations and lung function decline in COPD. Respir Res. 2022;23(1):1. doi:10.1186/s12931-021-01847-0

 

Maniscalco M, Fuschillo S, Mormile I, et al; PATH-2 Task Force. Exhaled nitric oxide as biomarker of type 2 diseases. Cells. 2023;12(21):2518. doi:10.3390/cells12212518

 

Pascual-González Y, López-Sánchez M, Dorca J, Santos S. Defining the role of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in COPD: a systematic literature review. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis. 2018;13:3651-3662. doi:10.2147/COPD.S178068

 

Serban KA, Pratte KA, Bowler RP. Protein biomarkers for COPD outcomes. Chest. 2021;159(6):2244-2253. doi:10.1016/j.chest.2021.01.004

 

Singh D, Wedzicha JA, Siddiqui S, et al. Blood eosinophils as a biomarker of future COPD exacerbation risk: pooled data from 11 clinical trials. Respir Res. 2020;21(1):240. doi:10.1186/s12931-020-01482-1

Surya P. Bhatt, MD

Professor of Medicine and Endowed Professor of Airways Disease
Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine
Director, Center for Lung Analytics and Imaging Research
Medical Director, Pulmonary Function and Exercise Physiology Laboratory
The University of Alabama at Birmingham
Birmingham, AL

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